MOS
the council passes — AVOIDMOSAIC CO·Basic Materials
Doesn't clear the council's bar right now.
45/100D
Price at last run$20.64as of Jul 8, 2026
cyclical✕Why not
The honest case against — what most tools hideMain riskno obvious red flag
Quality concernReturns on capital are below what we want to own.
Falling knifeDown 45% from its 1-year high — momentum is against it.
What keeps us out
- A deterioration in the fundamentals that score the business.
Patience price & distance
as of Jul 8, 2026 runThe patience price is where value discipline would let the council in — deliberately strict: we'd rather miss ten winners than own one loser.
Catalyst
none yet
A catalyst is a plausible reason the gap could close — never a certainty.